In addition to considering national trends in project financing, incentives and demand dynamics, it analyzes the 16 key statemarkets individually, accounting for each state’s unique incentive structure, solar availability, historical market size, barriers to adoption and electricity prices. It projects demand by market segment within each state, and uses these projections to develop a bottom-up forecast for the entire nation by state and by market segment. Finally, it contains competitive analysis of the project developers, integrators, and financiers that comprise today’s market, and the characteristics they will need in order to thrive as the market expands.
IN THIS REPORT:
- Demand projections by market segment for sixteen primary state markets, together comprising over 97 percent of national demand
- Analysis of demand drivers, incentive value, and subsidized grid parity for each market segment in each state
- National bottom-up demand forecast by state and market segment
- Competitive analysis of market players and development strategies
- Comprehensive listing of incentives and regulations that impact the PV market, including the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009(thestimulus package) and the potential for federal cap-and-trade
- Analysis of trends in project financing and comparison of financing structures
- Profiles of 31 residential, commercial and utility-scale project developers with U.S. operations
KEY FINDINGS:
U.S. PV Demand Grows in 2009 Despite the Recession: Grid-connected PV demand will reach 440 MW in 2009, up from 320 MW in 2008. In an upside economic scenario, demand could reach 544 MW in2009. The residential sector and local/state government projects drive demandgrowth, thanks to stimulus funding and the recently uncapped residential Investment Tax Credit. California retains its dominant market share, accounting for 205 MW in the base case scenario, or 50 percent of national demand. Secondary markets in Arizona, Colorado andNew Jerseysupport demand growth.
U.S. PV Market Becomes Global Demand Leader by 2012: Over the next four years, the U.S. will experience the most rapid demandgrowth of any major PV market. Base case U.S. PV demand grows to 1,515 MW in 2012, with annual growth from 2008 to 2012 averaging 48 percent. The upside scenario sees demand reaching 2,022 MW in 2012. During this period, the U.S. surpasses Spain, and potentially Germany,to become the leading global PV market.
Report details:
Publisher: Greentech Media
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